Australia's composite RBA cash rate prediction index. Track economist forecasts and ASX market pricing ahead of every RBA cash rate decision.
The OurTop10 Rate Prediction Index (ORPI) combines two independent signals: Market Expectations, derived from ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures, and the Economist Panel, drawn from a rotating panel of up to 10, selected each meeting from 30 tracked Australian economists. The standing weighting is 50/50. The market weight expands when market pricing is strongly one-sided. There is no crowd sentiment component in the model.
Visit our economists page to see rankings and accuracy scores.