Tomasz Wozniak — RBA rate forecast and track record
Tomasz Wozniak, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Melbourne.
Current call: 3 November 2026
No dated public call is on record for this meeting.
Accuracy
Recorded track record: 39 of 53 calls (74%). Adjusted for sample size: 75.3%.
Backfilled calls are reconstructed from public statements. They form a backtest, not a live-captured record.
Full recorded call history
| Meeting | Statement date | Call | RBA outcome | Result | Source | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-12 | a rise | a hold | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-01 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-13 | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-02-03 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-12-05 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-31 | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-09-26 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-08-12 | 2025-08-08 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-07-08 | 2025-07-04 | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-05-20 | 2025-05-16 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-04-01 | 2025-03-28 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-02-18 | 2025-02-14 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-12-10 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-11-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-09-24 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-08-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-06-18 | Date not recorded | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-05-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-03-19 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-02-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-12-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-11-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-10-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-09-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-08-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-07-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-06-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-05-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-04-04 | Date not recorded | a rise | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-03-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-02-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-12-06 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-11-01 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-10-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-09-06 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-08-02 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-07-05 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-06-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-05-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-04-05 | Date not recorded | a rise | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-03-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-02-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-12-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-11-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-10-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-09-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-08-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-07-06 | Date not recorded | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-06-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-05-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-04-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-03-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-02-02 | Date not recorded | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |