Nicholas Gruen — RBA rate forecast and track record
Nicholas Gruen, CEO, Lateral Economics.
Current call: 3 November 2026
No dated public call is on record for this meeting.
Accuracy
Recorded track record: 11 of 13 calls (85%). Adjusted for sample size: 82.9%.
Backfilled calls are reconstructed from public statements. They form a backtest, not a live-captured record.
Full recorded call history
| Meeting | Statement date | Call | RBA outcome | Result | Source | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-07 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Recorded live |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-12 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-01 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-13 | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-01-30 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-12-05 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-31 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-09-26 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-08-12 | 2025-08-08 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-07-08 | 2025-07-04 | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-05-20 | 2025-05-16 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-04-01 | 2025-03-28 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-02-18 | 2025-02-14 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |