Jonathan Kearns — RBA rate forecast and track record
Jonathan Kearns, Chief Economist, Challenger.
Current call: 3 November 2026
No dated public call is on record for this meeting.
Accuracy
Recorded track record: 6 of 7 calls (86%). Adjusted for sample size: 82.8%.
Backfilled calls are reconstructed from public statements. They form a backtest, not a live-captured record.
Full recorded call history
| Meeting | Statement date | Call | RBA outcome | Result | Source | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-05-06 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-04-29 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-01-29 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-10-29 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-29 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-08-12 | 2025-08-05 | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-07-08 | 2025-07-04 | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |