Belinda Allen — RBA rate forecast and track record
Belinda Allen, Head of Australian Economics, Commonwealth Bank.
Current call: 3 November 2026
Their recorded call for the 3 November 2026 RBA cash rate decision is a hold.
Statement date: 2026-10-15. Source
Accuracy
Recorded track record: 48 of 54 calls (89%). Adjusted for sample size: 87.3%.
Backfilled calls are reconstructed from public statements. They form a backtest, not a live-captured record.
Full recorded call history
| Meeting | Statement date | Call | RBA outcome | Result | Source | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 2026-09-21 | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source | Recorded live |
| 2026-08-11 | 2026-07-30 | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-06-16 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-03-17 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2026-02-03 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-12-09 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-11-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-09-30 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-08-12 | Date not recorded | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-07-08 | Date not recorded | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-05-20 | Date not recorded | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-04-01 | Date not recorded | a cut | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2025-02-18 | Date not recorded | a cut | a cut | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-12-10 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-11-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-09-24 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-08-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-06-18 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-05-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-03-19 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2024-02-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-12-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-11-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-10-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-09-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-08-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-07-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-06-06 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-05-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-04-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-03-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2023-02-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-12-06 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-11-01 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-10-04 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-09-06 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-08-02 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-07-05 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-06-07 | Date not recorded | a rise | a rise | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-05-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a rise | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-04-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-03-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2022-02-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-12-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-11-02 | Date not recorded | a rise | a hold | Incorrect | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-10-05 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-09-07 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-08-03 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-07-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-06-01 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-05-04 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-04-06 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-03-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |
| 2021-02-02 | Date not recorded | a hold | a hold | Correct | Source not recorded | Reconstructed from public statements |